It’s hardly news that Prime Minster Scott Morrison is in trouble. The bushfire crisis has two running themes. The first is climate change. The second is ScoMo’s mishandling of the crisis. Today I wish to explore the second. We all know the political motivations behind the ScoMo failure. He won his election purely by attracting
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Sydney’s rental vacancy rate rockets
SQM Research has released its rental vacancy data for December, which registered a 0.3% rise over the month but no change over the year: As noted by SQM, rental vacancies typically rise in December, thus the monthly increase represents seasonality. SQM also believes that this may represent the peak, given the sharp falls in dwelling
Links 15 January 2020
Global Macro / Markets / Investing: Wall Street hits record, boosted by trade and earnings optimism – Reuters Has The Digital Economy Hastened The End of the Free-Market Paradigm? – Project Syndicate One of the world’s top companies is giving young people the chance to veto projects that hurt the climate – CNN The coolest
Another poll shocker for ScoMo
After yesterday’s Newspoll shocker, which showed Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s approval rating plummeting from 45% to 37%: A Guardian Essential Poll, released today, also shows Morrison’s voter approval rating crashing: The prime minister’s handling of the bushfire crisis has seen his disapproval rating rise 9 points from 43% in December to 52%… The survey, undertaken
It’s time for a rational, mature debate on Australia’s population
By Kelvin Thompson, National Media Spokesperson for Sustainable Australia Party: When the economist Leith Van Onselen was recently asked on ABC radio whether his support for a substantial cut in Australia’s migration program meant he was xenophobic, he replied that he supported a return of our migration program to the numbers we had when Gough
Surprise! Port of Melbourne’s privatisation gouges users
In 2016, the Victorian Government privatised the Port of Melbourne via a 50-year lease, which raked in $9.7 billion directly, plus another $1.45 billion earned via the federal government’s asset recycling program, thus taking the total sale proceeds to just over $11 billion. However, the sale of the Port of Melbourne also raised genuine competition
84% of Sydneysiders concerned about high-rise build quality
With high-rise apartments mushrooming across Sydney: A new poll commissioned by the Committee for Sydney has revealed that 80% of Sydneysiders are concerned about the structural soundness of high-rise apartment buildings: An Ipsos poll of residents for advocacy group the Committee for Sydney found the quality of construction and the structural integrity of towers were
Australian household financial confidence collapses
Digital Finance Analytics has released its latest Household Financial Confidence Index, which has collapsed to a record low: DFA is releasing the latest in our 52,000 household survey series examining household financial confidence. The score to mid January is an all-time low of 81.2, well below the neutral setting and the previous low back in
Dan’s West Gate Tunnel hit with another scandal
In late 2017, the Victorian Labor Government completed a shady $6.7 billion deal with Transurban to build the West Gate Tunnel Project, which will see Transurban contribute $4.4 billion towards the cost in exchange motorists paying $15 billion in additional tolls on CityLink until 2045. Former Premier Jeff Kennett described the deal as “absurd” and
Land baron gets rich off gullible Victorian taxpayers
‘Game of Mates’ is clearly running strong within the Victorian Government, with a property developer making huge ‘planning gain’ windfalls at the expense of Victorian taxpayers. From the Herald-Sun: The delays come as Supreme Court documents reveal another blow for the government over the troubled West Gate project. Documents obtained by the Herald Sun show
Moody’s: Bushfires to hit government budgets
Moody’s says in a new report that Australia’s (Aaa stable) general and state governments can absorb the near-term credit impact from the ongoing bushfires, although they are “likely to result in rising and recurring costs that will test the government’s capacity to mitigate these costs”: The near-term credit implications for the sovereign and the states
The future arrives as Aussie town runs out of water
Last week we reported that water wars had hit the Tamworth region. With Tamworth’s water storages plummeting to just 13.2%, the nearby small town of Manilla, located 45 kilometres North West of Tamworth, blockaded its bulk filling station to stop water being taken from the town to supply Tamworth residents. Yesterday, the ABC reported that
Former Labor MP: Temporary visa flood is smashing wages
Former federal Labor MP, Craig Emerson, has penned an article in The AFR warning that the relentless rise of migrants workers on temporary visas is crushing Australian wage growth, alongside the expansion of low productivity personal services industries, like food delivery. According to Emerson, there is minimal sophisticated capital equipment used in these services sectors,
Macro Morning
By Chris Becker? Another bullish day to be expected here in Asia with another record high on Wall Street overnight pushing the risk complex along with tech stocks leading the way. The poor US jobs print from Friday seems to have been forgotten as focus shifts more to risk taking, but currency markets were relatively
Daily iron ore price update (Rio keeps digging)
by Chris Becker The iron ore complex reopened over the weekend with modest upticks on both spot and futures prices, although rebar finally slowed down a little: Meanwhile, Rio Tinto is still digging away with a big project announced yesterday for Monadelphous and Lycopodium, who’ve been contracted to design and construct Rio’s Western Turner Syncline
Australia’s emissions cut delusion
Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews says it would not be appropriate to discuss potential changes to the state’s carbon emissions reduction policy until the bushfire crisis is over. An independent advice panel chaired by former federal MP Greg Combet has recommended that the government adopt more aggressive targets, including reducing emissions by 40% on 2005 levels
Backlash swells against Sydney bus privatisation
11,000 Sydneysiders have signed a petition opposing the privatisation of the city’s remaining bus network, which would break a pre-election commitment ruling out any additional privatisations: Hundreds of people have rallied outside NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian’s office to oppose plans to privatise Sydney’s remaining state-owned bus services. Union members and commuters were among those who
University cuts ties with Indian international student scammer
Last year, the Department of Home Affairs deemed student visa applications from India as “high-risk”, thereby requiring applicants to demonstrate higher English-language proficiency as well as prove greater capacity to support themselves financially once arrived in Australia. These changes came amid an explosion in student visa applications from India, alongside a surge in visa rejections
Links 14 January 2020
Global Macro / Markets / Investing: The Most Effective Suicide Prevention: $1 Increase in Minimum Wage Linked to 3.5–6% Drop in Suicide Rate – SciTech Daily Raising The Minimum Wage By $1 May Prevent Thousands Of Suicides, Study Shows – NPR How Hedge Funds Hide – Institutional Investor How Bitcoin Really Has Become a Digital
FOMO hits Australia’s mortgage market
According to Domain, mortgage brokers are being inundated with applications from homebuyers wishing to break into the market: Mortgage brokers report they have been inundated with inquiries and home loan applications during what would traditionally be a holiday break. Most interest has come from owner-occupiers including first-home buyers, while some investors are also keen, according
Australian dollar zooms higher on soft US jobs
by Chris Becker Friday night’s US NFP (non-farm payroll) unemployment print for December reset the strong USD meme that had been in place since the New Year with the King of currencies falling back on lower risk expectations. While the headline unemployment rate remains flat at 3.5%: The monthly numbers were well below expectations and
Tassie’s housing crisis escalates
Following his re-election in 2018, Tasmanian Premier Will Hodgman rejoiced at the acceleration in the state’s population growth: Tasmania’s population is growing at its fastest rate in five years and the State Government wants to see more of it… “There’s no doubt that Tasmania has ample room for additional intake of people from interstate or
Pessimism engulfs Australians
The traditional Gallup International End of Year survey conducted in countries all over the world shows Australians are amongst the least optimistic about 2020 of anyone: As shown above, only 12% of Australians are optimistic about 2020, versus 40% that are pessimistic. In fact, the only OECD nation that is more net pessimistic than Australia
First home buyers locked-out again as bubble returns
With Australian dwelling values rising at the fastest quarterly rate in a decade, according to CoreLogic, driven by Sydney and Melbourne: The ABC’s Michael Janda has penned an article lamenting that first home buyers (FHBs) are again being shut-out of Australian housing: While Sydney and Melbourne, as well as the national average, are still below
Sydney’s water savings swallowed by population ponzi
With Sydney’s water storages plummeting at an unprecedented rate, hitting just 43.0%: Another plummeting water storage article has appeared in The SMH: Since the drought started to bite around the Sydney region about 33 months ago, 281 billion litres have flowed into Sydney’s biggest dam at Warragamba. The tally is less than half the previous
Spin engulfs Melbourne’s $50b rail megaponzi
The Sunday Herald-Sun published an extraordinary propaganda article spruiking the State Government’s 90 kilometre suburban rail loop, which it labelled a “game changer”: Melbourne’s new suburban rail loop will operate up to 40m underground and could run driverless trains… A gun team of 150 experts from Australia and overseas has been assembled to get the
Australia can’t meet emissions targets with mass immigration
Yesterday, Prime Minister Scott Morrison was quizzed by the media on whether the government intended to meet Australia’s emissions targets as laid-out under the Paris Agreement, and promised to go even further: Australia has pledged to cut emissions by 26 per cent on 2005 levels by 2030, under the Paris Agreement. “It is my intention